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Dave Kimbell's avatar

"Among 18- to 24-year-olds, 66% already use ChatGPT to search for information. Only 69% still use Google."

Just checking: Is there a typo in those figures? Because they suggest that 2/3 of Zoomers are still using Google, even as they use GPT in parallel.

Is your point that 31% of Zoomers have completely ditched Google in just 2.5 years?

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coupland's avatar

This all presupposes that nothing changes in the AI landscape, and it almost certainly will. Open AI has been very clear they lost money on every $200/mo Pro license. That's okay while they're burning through investment funding, but this is simply the first phase of enshittification. The other stages are coming, fast.

We can expect to see huge increases in monthly fees in coming months, ads, your personal data for sale to the highest bidder, and of course paid placements. Heck, for all we know chat bots won't even tell us what's a real answer and what's just a paid placement.

I think what's far more likely to happen is that not a lot will change. Instead of Google being the gateway to a bunch of commercial sites who've paid for placement, Chat GPT or Grok or Claude will be the gateways to the same 20-30 massive commercial sites who can afford to buy placement. (The sites of the AI bots won't be the sources for all this crappy content, mind you, because their business model will be paid placement.)

And independent content creators? Please. That ship sailed over a decade ago.

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